Bank of Russia Rate Decision: Consensus Forecasts 16% Hold as Inflation Risks Persist into February 2026

2026-02-08T21:24:35+03:00

Bank of Russia Rate Decision: Consensus Forecasts 16% Hold as Inflation Risks Persist into February 2026

A vast majority of leading economists (9 out of 12 polled by Forbes) expect the Bank of Russia (CBR) to maintain the key interest rate at 16% during its upcoming meeting on February 13. Analysts at Mondiara identify several "hawkish" factors preventing a rate cut: stubborn price growth and elevated inflation expectations among businesses and households. Market participants anticipate that the regulator may upwardly revise its full-year forecasts for both inflation and the average key rate. Furthermore, the full impact of the recent VAT increase on consumer prices remains unclear, with experts suggesting that the pass-through effect won't be fully assessable until at least March. Let’s Build the Future: 📩 Contact for Investors: i@mondiara.ru 🌐 Explore more: [mondiara.com](https://mondiara.com)

Войти

Войдите, чтобы оставлять комментарии

Другие новости сообщества / MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia’s Federal Budget Deficit Hits ₽1.718 Trillion (0.7% of GDP) in January 2026 — Ministry of Finance
The Russian Ministry of Finance has released preliminary data for the federal budget execution in January 2026. The budget deficit for the first month...

2026-02-08T21:28:58+03:00 123
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia’s GDP Growth Slows to 1.0% in 2025 Following Upward Revision to 4.9% for 2024 — Rosstat
Rosstat has released its final GDP estimates, showing that the Russian economy grew by 1.0% in 2025. This deceleration follows a massive, upwardly rev...

2026-02-08T21:29:39+03:00 120
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Anti-Money Laundering: Russia Proposes 1 Million Ruble Monthly Limit on Cash Deposits via ATMs
The Russian Ministry of Finance has proposed a new monthly limit of 1 million rubles for cash deposits through ATMs to combat money laundering. Rosfin...

2026-02-08T21:25:06+03:00 112
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russian Mortgage Market Surges 3.4x in January 2026: Front-Running Demand Precedes New Subsidy Rules
The Russian mortgage market witnessed a dramatic year-on-year expansion in January 2026. According to DOM.RF data, the number of loans issued spiked 2...

2026-02-08T21:28:11+03:00 111
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russian Ministry of Finance Registers 6 New OFZ Bond Issues Totaling ₽2.5 Trillion
The Russian Ministry of Finance has officially registered six additional tranches of OFZ (Federal Loan Bonds), with a total face value of ₽2.5 trillio...

2026-02-08T21:24:10+03:00 107
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Historic Milestone: Russian Gold Reserves Surpass $400 Billion for the First Time as Total Reserves Top $600 Billion
In a landmark shift for global central banking, the Bank of Russia has announced that its gold holdings have officially crossed the $400 billion mark ...

2026-02-08T21:27:21+03:00 105
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia’s 2026 Election Cycle Begins: New Central Election Commission Formation Underway Amid Stability Signals
The formation of a new Central Election Commission (CEC) is set to be finalized in the coming weeks, marking a critical preparatory step for the 2026 ...

2026-02-08T21:38:22+03:00 104
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russian Bank Account Blocks Surge: Complaints Up 14.7% in 2025 Amid Automated AML Crackdown
A significant rise in bank card and account blockages is triggering a wave of consumer frustration across Russia. According to the Bank of Russia, tot...

2026-02-08T21:26:01+03:00 102
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia’s Average Social Pension to Reach ₽16,500 Following April 1 Indexation — Expert Data
Starting April 1, 2026, the average social pension in Russia is set to reach ₽16,500 following a scheduled state indexation, according to expert data ...

2026-02-08T21:34:53+03:00 100
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia Formalizes 1 Million "Shadow" Workers in 2025: Labor Market Transparency Surges 20%
Russian labor authorities have successfully transitioned nearly 1 million workers from the informal sector to legal employment in 2025, marking a 20% ...

2026-02-08T21:26:34+03:00 100
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

PM Mishustin: Russia’s GDP Growth Outpaces Global Average as Coordinated Anti-Inflation Policy Yields Results
Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin has officially stated that the national economy remains resilient, with average annual growth rates now excee...

2026-02-08T21:37:44+03:00 99
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia Proposes "Adaptive Labor Mode": Remote Work as a Legal Alternative to Sick Leave in 2026
A new legislative initiative in the Russian State Duma aims to revolutionize traditional sick leave by introducing a "Temporary Adaptive Labor Mode." ...

2026-02-08T21:35:28+03:00 92
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia to Boost Social Pensions by 6.8% in April 2026: Fiscal Support for 4.3 Million Citizens
Starting April 1, 2026, Russia will implement a 6.8% indexation of social pensions, according to Minister of Labor Anton Kotyakov. This scheduled incr...

2026-02-08T21:30:50+03:00 90
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Bank of Russia Rate Decision: Consensus Forecasts 16% Hold as Inflation Risks Persist into February 2026
A vast majority of leading economists (9 out of 12 polled by Forbes) expect the Bank of Russia (CBR) to maintain the key interest rate at 16% during i...

2026-02-08T21:24:35+03:00 90
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

₽200,000+ Average Salaries: Russia’s Mining and Aerospace Sectors Lead Wage Growth in Late 2025
The Russian labor market is experiencing significant wage polarization. Average monthly salaries exceeding ₽200,000 have been officially recorded in t...

2026-02-08T21:33:52+03:00 87
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia Tightens Telecom Compliance: New Fines Up to ₽1 Million for Illegal SIM Sales and Verification Failures
A Russian State Duma committee has recommended the first-reading approval of a new bill significantly increasing penalties within the telecommunicatio...

2026-02-08T21:25:34+03:00 87
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Kyrgyzstan Defies Trend: Remittances from Russia Hit Record $2.99 Billion as Flows to Kazakhstan, Georgia, and Armenia Plummet
A significant divergence is emerging in the cross-border payment landscape between Russia and its neighbors. According to the latest central bank data...

2026-02-08T21:37:13+03:00 86
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Chinese Brands Slash Russian Banner Ad Budgets by 70% in Late 2025: A Shift Toward Strategic Marketplace Integration
A major shift in advertising strategy is unfolding among Chinese manufacturers in the Russian market. According to Digital Budget data, banner adverti...

2026-02-08T21:30:14+03:00 86
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia’s Mortgage Market 2026: Analysts Forecast Stagnation and Contraction Amid High Interest Rates
The Russian mortgage lending sector is facing a challenging outlook for 2026, with market experts predicting a period of stagnation or potential decli...

2026-02-08T21:34:20+03:00 82
RUSSIAN NEWS

MONDIARA - RUSSIAN BLOOMBERG

Russia Grants Record 240,000 Foreign Work Permits in 2025: Highest Surge Since 2017 to Combat Labor Shortage
The Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) issued over 240,000 work permits for foreign nationals in 2025, marking a record high since 2017. Acco...

2026-02-08T21:36:28+03:00 76